OPINION: The SPLM Party’s Survival Lies in the Hands of the Youth

The announcement by the National Elections Commission (NEC) that general elections are scheduled for 22 December 2026 has reignited political debate across South Sudan. Among members of the ruling Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM), the prospect of elections has generated renewed excitement and optimism.

In a previous opinion article, I argued that the planned elections remain difficult to envisage given the constitutional, financial and logistical challenges that persist, as well as the limited time remaining before the proposed date. Questions also remain regarding alignment with the provisions of the Revitalized Agreement on the Resolution of the Conflict in South Sudan (R-ARCSS). Nonetheless, for the purpose of this discussion, let us assume that the elections will proceed as scheduled.

If that is the case, the key question becomes: what will ultimately determine how South Sudanese vote?

While many factors are likely to influence voter behaviour, one constituency stands out above all others: the youth.

South Sudan is one of the youngest nations in the world, with more than 70 per cent of its population under the age of 35. This demographic represents the country’s largest and potentially most influential political bloc. Yet it is also among the most underserved segments of society.

Youth unemployment remains a major challenge. Estimates suggest that a significant proportion of young people, particularly those under the age of 30, struggle to find meaningful employment opportunities. Many have turned to the informal economy, operating motorcycle taxis, commonly known as boda bodas, or driving tricycles to earn a living. However, such livelihoods are often marked by insecurity and, in some cases, allegations of harassment, intimidation, or extortion. At the same time, literacy levels among young people remain a concern, limiting access to opportunities and participation in national development.

These realities are likely to shape political choices in any future election. The popularity of political parties will increasingly depend on how effectively they address the aspirations and challenges of young people. Voters will assess not only past achievements but also future plans for education, employment, entrepreneurship, skills development, and political inclusion.

For the SPLM, which has been the dominant political force for more than two decades, this presents both a challenge and an opportunity. The party will need to demonstrate to young voters that it can offer practical solutions to issues that directly affect their daily lives. A generation that has grown up facing unemployment, economic hardship, insecurity, and limited opportunities is likely to judge leaders based on tangible results rather than historical achievements alone.

For many members of Generation Z and younger millennials, political decisions are increasingly shaped by present realities. The question is not simply who led the liberation struggle, but who can provide jobs, quality education, security, and hope for the future.

Liberation remains an important part of South Sudan’s history and national identity. However, the political legitimacy it once guaranteed may no longer be sufficient to secure electoral success in the years ahead. Today’s young voters are seeking leadership that speaks to their current needs and future aspirations.

Ultimately, the future of the SPLM, and indeed the future direction of South Sudan’s politics, may depend on whether the country’s leaders can convince its largest generation that they offer not only a proud history but also a credible vision for tomorrow.

DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views, editorial policy, or position of Access Radio 88.8 FM, its management, staff, or partners.